404


ERROR 404 - PAGE NOT FOUND
Oops! Looks like the page you're looking for was moved or never existed.
Make sure you typed the correct URL or followed a valid link.

Google
 

We recommend you load this web site using Firefox.

All the money from this page is donated to charity. Click here if you wish to change this page.

Search
   


   

Quick Google check: according to a recent 10-Q, the company is sitting on about $5.5 billion in cash after generating almost $1.6 billion in Q3 2005 revenues. But we knew that already.

Google’s principal source of revenue, of course, is advertising. About 56% of Google’s revenue comes from ads on Google’s own properties; about 43% come from ads on other web sites (eg other publishers, including blogs). The remaining 1% comes from a hodgepodge of sources, including product sales of lava lamps and Google-branded dog leashes (really).

Keyword pricing–the price advertisers pay so that their listing will appear on a relevant search or content page–is an important topic, then, for Google watchers.

According to Fathom Online, keyword prices fell from an average of $1.70 to $1.43 over the past 12 months (via MediaPost). More numbers:

Consumer services and mortgage look particularly unhealthy.

That said, Google’s investors don’t seem worried:

Why is Google’s stock price rising, even though keyword prices (at least by one measure) are declining precipitously? Two reasons:

  1. Overall spend in online search continues to rise dramatically.
  2. Investors believe Google will eventually develop revenue streams unrelated to search.

In any case, this post isn’t intended to suggest that Google is in trouble. However, if keyword pricing remains weak and overall search spend begins to slow, things may look a lot less rosy.

13 Responses to “Google, and the Current State of the Keyword Advertising Market”

links from TechnoratiOnline released its Keyword Price Index (KPI) for December 2005. According to the report, cost-per-clicks dropped 1% during Q4 of ‘05 and 16% overall in the past year - a “downward spiral” in keyword prices, according to MediaPost. With that in mind,Dan Grossman attempts to answer the question Fathom’s report has led many people to ask - specifically; why does Google’s stock continue to rise despite the fact that CPC’s appear to be falling? Dan provides two reasons:

[…] Vía | A Venture Forth Tags: publicidad online […]

Hmm inflation is on the rise, interest rates are increasing, and the stock market is slowing down. Is there a connection? Can key word prices be an indicator? Not sure if it is a leading or trailing indicator. More research is needed.

But why would Googles stock rise. Google should not be penalized for the cyclical nature of it revenues. Investors can diversify that away. Finance 101. They are rewarded for the firm specific risk or lack there of they take on.

1. Overall spend in online search continues to rise dramatically.
Totally agree. This is Google’s juice (firm specific risk). When this stops growing it Googles stock stalls.

2. Investors believe Google will eventually develop revenue streams unrelated to search.

This may be true but I do think that this “belief” has much to do with the increase in Googles stock. The market is not that giving. I think more solid evidence that Google can deliver the goods is needed.

Dean, I agree that more evidence of Google’s ability to deliver compelling (and revenue generating) products outside of search is needed. In particular, I’m underwhelmed with the new Google Video.

links from TechnoratiOnline released its Keyword Price Index (KPI) for December 2005. According to the report, cost-per-clicks dropped 1% during Q4 of ‘05 and 16% overall in the past year - a “downward spiral” in keyword prices, according to MediaPost. With that in mind, Dan Grossman attempts to answer the question Fathom’s report has led many people to ask - specifically; why does Google’s stock continue to rise despite the fact that CPC’s appear to be falling? Dan provides two reasons:

links from TechnoratiQ4 of ‘05 and 16% overall in the past year - a “downward spiral” in keyword prices, according to MediaPost. With that in mind, Dan Grossman attempts to answer the question Fathom’s report has led many people to ask - specifically; why does Google’s stock continue to rise despite the fact

Maybe there is a lack of supply of good technology stocks to invest in. If I had a choice between the thousands of crap technology companies that are public, undercapitalized, and still hanging on my a thread, or a $5.5B cash business, I know where I’d put money.

A little bit of heard mentality going on here too. I think there is money saying “the price keeps going up, and I’ll be left out”. In technical terms - momentum.

Keyword price analysis in isolation of keyword distribution isn’t very useful. Marketers from more sectors are showing up growing breadth faster than prices drop. Also, I think Fathom has difficulty keeping up with the growth of terms in each sector and so exclude much of the incremental spend in each.

[…] About 90 million people will watch the Super Bowl this year. Like so many others, I care about the game mainly (maybe only) because of the commercials. This year, a 30-second spot costs $2.5 million (last year, the same slot cost $2.4 million; it was $2.3 million in 2004). Keyword ad prices may be falling, but the Super Bowl is still prime TV advertising territory. […]

Did you read the Internet Stock Blog’s Roundup of blogger reactions to Google’s price drop? A bunch of people weighed in on this, i.e. Phil Town, Internet Outsider, etc.

sadgasga

Hello! Good Site! Thanks you! cqtnkwvbkwy

Thanks for this site!
guiop.info

Something to say?